Pro Football History.com Blog
By Stephen Juza,
March 20th, 2025
The 2025 NFL draft is just over a month away, and the Titans are on the clock for the first overall pick. Coming off a 3-14 season where it felt like nothing could go right, they have numerous holes to fill on their roster. Head coach Brian Callahan has a tall task on rebuilding a team that has finished last in the division the last two years. Who may be joining former second round pick Will Levis on the Titans roster come April 24th?
While we are waiting for Roger Goodell to take the stage in Green Bay to announce the draft picks, Kiwi NFL fans can go participate in online sports betting Nz all offseason long. For fans traveling to Green Bay to experience the draft in person, who are the top candidates to be announced as the newest Titan? Let’s look at the team’s top options for April.
Abdul Carter, EDGE, Penn State
Should the Titans feel comfortable moving forward with Levis as their quarterback, they could look to shore up their defensive pressure by taking one of the top pass rushers of the draft in Abdul Carter. Only two teams in the NFL sacked the quarterback less than the Titans did in 2024, and the lack of pressure resulted in the 30th ranked defense in the league. Carter would be crucial for the Titans to compete in the division that also has former rookie of the year C.J. Stroud at quarterback for the Titans.
Carter had an accolade filled year for the Nittany Lions. He was named a first team All-American, Big Ten defensive player of the year, and defensive lineman of the year. On top of those awards, he was named a finalist for the Bednarik Award (given to the top defender in the country) and the Lombardi Award (top offensive or defensive lineman. Carter shined for Penn State en route to a loss in the playoff semifinals against Notre Dame, and would instantly bolster any line in the NFL, and could be a great pick for the Titans.
Cam Ward, QB, Miami
If new Titans general Mike Borgonzi decides that Will Levis is not the right quarterback for the future, they could be looking at Cam Ward out of Miami. Borgonzi has witnessed first-hand the transformative impact the quarterback can have for a franchise. He has spent the last several years in Kansas City, with a front office seat to one of the all time greats in Patrick Mahomes. In the last two years, the Titans offense has ranked 27th in points and will need to see some dramatic improvement to compete for the division.
If the team decides to go with Ward, they would hope he will bring record-setting abilities to Nashville. In 2024, Ward set the single season touchdown record for Miami (39), and across his entire career threw for an NCAA-record 158 touchdowns. Ward won the Davey O’Brien award last year, given to the top quarterback in college football, and was named first team All-American en route to a 10-3 season for the Hurricanes.
Trading down in the draft
It’s rare that a team is one player away from competing when they have the first overall draft pick, and trading the pick to a QB needy team and using the haul could fill several holes across the team. With plenty of opportunities to improve the 27th ranked offense of the 30th ranked defense, the Titans need several impact players to really move the needle in 2025.
But why would they decide to trade the pick? In a weaker quarterback class, they may feel better with Levis than any of the rookies to choose from, and the overwhelming majority of first picks are quarterbacks. As the most important position on the field, teams who feel they are a player away could take the risk to jump up in the draft.
Conclusion
While Borgonzi has a big decision ahead in the next month, fans in New Zealand are able to make lower-stakes decisions for a NRL sports bet all year long.
Regardless of who the team chooses, they have a tough road ahead back to contending for the division. Far ahead of the competition are the Texans. They have won the last two division titles since drafting Stroud and defensive end Will Anderson, Jr. in 2023. The remaining teams in the division are struggling with their quarterback, their coach, or both.
While there are always teams that are capable of going worst to first in a division, I would not be willing to bet on the Titans doing it this year. They have too many holes, and the top end talent may not be there in April to provide the instant spark to right the ship.
March 11th, 2025
The NFL is packed to the rafters with excitement, skill, and jaw-dropping moments. Over the years, fans have seen unforgettable games where underdogs shocked everyone by upending the hopes of favorites. These upsets are part and parcel of what makes football so exciting to watch.
From proving "unbeatable" teams wrong, to showing the strength of smaller teams, these games teach us about unexpected wins and never giving up. Let’s look back at four of the biggest NFL upsets and what made them so noteworthy.
Super Bowl III (1969): Jets Sink the Colts
Few upsets are as iconic as Super Bowl III, when Joe Namath and the New York Jets stunned the heavily favored Baltimore Colts. The Jets were the underdogs by a whopping 18 points and came from the upstart AFL, which many doubted could compete with the NFL’s top-tier teams.
Namath’s infamous “guarantee” that his Jets would win was initially dismissed as bravado. But backed by a strong defensive performance, he led New York to a 16-7 victory, shocking the football world and earning the AFL much-needed respect.
This wasn’t just a win for the Jets—it was a victory for the league itself and played no small part in the eventual full AFL-NFL merger. It’s also a reminder to bettors that successful betting on NFL games can come down to much more than the numbers - sometimes even the most outlandish bet can provide returns (but research is still key).
And the takeaway? Never underestimate a confident quarterback and a fired-up defense.
Patriots vs. Rams (Super Bowl XXXVI, 2002): The Birth of a Dynasty
The St. Louis Rams—nicknamed “The Greatest Show on Turf” boasted one of the most effective offenses in NFL history. Led by MVP Kurt Warner, the Rams entered the 2002 Super Bowl as 14-point favorites, and with good reason. They had dominated the season with speed, creativity, and power.
Enter a young Tom Brady and his New England Patriots—a team most football fans saw as nothing more than placeholders - far from serious contenders.. But the Patriots’ defense stifled the Rams' explosive plays, and Brady delivered in the clutch, setting up Adam Vinatieri’s game-winning field goal as time expired.
This shocking 20-17 victory not only crowned the Patriots as champions but also marked the beginning of what would become the Brady-Belichick dynasty. It’s a case study in perseverance and strategy—two factors that allow teams to defy even the most stacked rosters and prove NFL news headlines wrong.
Giants Ruin Perfection (Super Bowl XLII, 2008): 18-1 Belongs to NY
The 2007 New England Patriots were trying to make history. They entered Super Bowl XLII with an unblemished 18-0 record and had shattered offensive records all season. They were poised to be crowned the greatest team in NFL history.
But the New York Giants, led by Eli Manning, had other plans. Clinging to a strategy of relentless defense and just enough offense, the Giants pulled off one of the most exhilarating finishes in football history. Manning’s miraculous escape-and-heave to David Tyree (the now-famous “Helmet Catch”) will forever epitomize this upset. Final score? 17-14.
Jaguars Shock the Broncos (1996 Divisional Round)
Back in ’96, the Jacksonville Jaguars were just a second-year franchise, and nobody expected a deep playoff run. Facing the Denver Broncos in the AFC Divisional game, sportsbooks had the Broncos favored by a hefty 12 points, supported by Hall-of-Fame quarterback John Elway.
But the Jaguars stunned the Mile High crowd with an impressive 30-27 win, led by quarterback Mark Brunell’s escapability and a calm rushing attack. Up until that game, the Jaguars weren’t even considered contenders.
This game solidified their place in franchise history as giant slayers and proved that anything is possible, even for an inexperienced squad. For NFL fans, it was an awe-inspiring moment that had the league buzzing for weeks.
The Magic of the Underdog
What makes these upsets so compelling is the unpredictability of the NFL. On any given Sunday—or Super Bowl day—the unthinkable can happen. Underdogs might lack elite rosters, but football is a game where grit, strategy, and inspired play often triumph over sheer talent.
For sports enthusiasts, NFL insights help us learn from these historic moments. For bettors, such games highlight that calculated risks can result in incredible stories and even better returns.
Which game stands out in your memory as the ultimate underdog moment? Share your favorite upsets in the comments below, and if you’re considering your next wager, remember—the most exciting bets are often on the unexpected.
March 11th, 2025
The final whistle blows, confetti falls, and a newly crowned champion holds up the Vince Lombardi Trophy somewhere in the depths of a stadium still thick with the smell of fireworks and spilled beer. It’s the culmination of months of brutal competition, split-second decisions, and tactics revised and re-revised. And yet, before the last interview is given before the players have even peeled off the celebratory t-shirts from their backs, somewhere—perhaps in a dimly lit office lined with monitors or a home study littered with stat sheets—sports betting analysts have already moved on.
Because for them, the Super Bowl is not an event. It’s part of a giant machine that never stops. The end of one season is just the beginning of another, the first chapter in a book they are already writing. Before the bookmakers release the odds, before even the draft has set the stage for the next generation of talent, the real work has begun. Algorithms are adjusting, historical data is being cross-referenced, and the search for patterns—those tiny nearly imperceptible clues that will unlock the future—is in full swing.
The Long View: Betting On The Future Before The Present Has Settled
For those on the outside, it may seem premature. The 2026 Super Bowl is a year away—who can know with any certainty which teams will be in the mix? The answer is nobody. But certainty is not the currency of sports betting; probability is. And probability, when looked at through the right tools, is a valuable commodity.
The analysts are not predicting the future as much as they are shaping it into something digestible, something that can be eaten, weighed and eventually wagered upon. They are tracking quarterback performances, injury histories, coaching tendencies and even the finer points of player contracts—who will be up for renewal, who might be tempted away by a bigger deal, whose form will peak or falter. The best sports betting apps already have their early odds up, not because the bookmakers know what will happen, but because they know what will be bet on.
Why Analysts Start So Early
To the naked eye, a Super Bowl-winning team looks like it emerges naturally, its path formed by the events of a given season. But analysts see something else. They see trends developing long before they become visible to the rest of us. A team’s salary cap situation may not mean much to a casual fan in February but to those who make their living from forecasting, it means everything. It determines who stays, who goes and—by extension—who wins.
And coaching hires and fires are not just backroom politics but the first domino in a chain reaction that could lead to a Super Bowl in one year. Hiring an innovative OC today might mean a record-breaking QB season in 12 months. A mediocre draft this year could mean trouble in 2025. The pieces are always moving and the smartest people in the room are watching them in real time.
The Rise of Data-Driven Betting
It wasn’t always this way. There was a time when sports betting was driven by gut feeling not insight, when intuition carried more weight than spreadsheets and predictive modelling. But those days are behind us. The rise of analytics in sports has changed everything and the betting world has followed. Now machine learning and complex statistical models are combing through decades of data looking for those 1-2% advantages that over time make all the difference.
This isn’t to say there’s no room for intuition. There will always be human judgment involved—nuances that numbers can’t capture. A team’s chemistry, the effect of a great leader, the chaos of a high-pressure moment—these are things that elude even the smartest models. But they are factored in nonetheless, woven into the probabilities in ways that attempt to quantify the unquantifiable.
What the Data Might Already Be Saying
While no one can say for certain which teams will be in the 2026 Super Bowl, the early signs are already showing. Powerhouse teams with young QBs and strong defense are the obvious contenders, teams with aging rosters and cap issues are already in the ‘outsider’ category. Analysts will be watching how teams draft, how they navigate free agency and how their 2025 schedule shapes up. They will note the teams that won close games and the ones that dominated, the teams that excel in key playoff-style metrics like 3rd down efficiency and red zone conversion rates.
Some teams will already be trending up and others will be slipping away, imperceptibly. That’s where the smart sports bettors make their move. The odds are best before the general public gets wise. Those who wait until next year to bet will do so at a disadvantage, their bets influenced by the narratives that have already been built rather than the raw probabilities that exist today.
Who are the Favourites to Win the Super Bowl 2026?
Predicting a Super Bowl winner this far in advance is always a mix of informed guesswork and gut instinct. Injuries, coaching changes, and unexpected breakouts will shape the season, but a few teams already stand out as early contenders.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles boast one of the most balanced rosters in the league, thanks to Howie Roseman’s smart roster-building. Their strengths include:
Offensive Firepower:
- Saquon Barkley (RB)
- A.J. Brown (WR)
- DeVonta Smith (WR)
Defensive Stars:
- Jalen Carter (DT)
- Nolan Smith Jr. (EDGE)
Key Question: Can they maintain offensive dominance now that coordinator Kellen Moore has moved on?
Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens continue to ride the brilliance of Lamar Jackson, supported by a strong supporting cast:
Playmakers on Offense:
- Lamar Jackson (QB)
- Derrick Henry (RB)
- Zay Flowers (WR)
Defensive Anchors:
- Roquan Smith (LB)
- Kyle Hamilton (S)
Key Strength: A well-structured offense under Todd Monken, paired with a dominant defense.
Kansas City Chiefs
As long as Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are in Kansas City, they’ll remain in the mix. Their key assets include:
Offensive Core:
- Patrick Mahomes (QB)
- Xavier Worthy (WR)
- Rashee Rice (WR)
Defensive Strength: A strong core that has helped them stay competitive year after year.
X-Factor: Mahomes. His ability to elevate the team makes them a perennial contender, regardless of roster changes.
Who Will Come Out on Top? The Eagles have the most complete roster. The Ravens have a hungry superstar in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs have Mahomes—which might be all they need.
But in the NFL, nothing is certain until the final whistle blows.
February 26th, 2025
By Stephen Juza
As we enter the 2025 NFL offseason, all the head coaching positions are finally filled. Kellen Moore was the last head coach to be hired, as the New Orleans Saints had to wait until Moore’s season with the Eagles was over before offering him the job. With the Eagles victory of the Chiefs, Moore was announced just a few short days later. With all seven spots now filled, how did each team do in finding the next leader for their team?
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#1 - Ben Johnson, Chicago Bears
After turning down opportunities to take a head coaching role last season, Ben Johnson was the top coaching prospect this offseason, and for good reason. After leading the explosive Lions offense to the top seed in the NFC, the Lions were fantastic from start to finish this regular season. Johnson has been instrumental in helping to turn around the Lions the last several years, and the Bears will hope that he can work his magic for another NFC North team. His big test will be working with second-year quarterback Caleb Williams in hopes that he can unleash his potential as a former top draft pick.
#2 - Mike Vrabel, New England Patriots
After sitting out the 2024 season, Vrabel returned to the NFL as the head coach of the New England Patriots. This offseason, it seemed like the most obvious landing spot for Vrabel, who spent many years playing for the Patriots during his career. Vrabel was a very good coach for the Titans for many years, leading the team to back-to-back division titles for the first time since the 1960s. One of the best coaching hires Vrabel made this offseason was bringing back Josh McDaniels to the team as their offensive coordinator. McDaniels has had great success as an offensive coordinator in the league, and working with Drake Maye will set up the franchise for the future.
#3 - Pete Carroll - Las Vegas Raiders
Another coach who sat out the 2024 season, Pete Carroll returns to the sidelines for his fourth NFL head coaching job. Carroll was fired after 2023’s season as the Seattle Seahawks head coach as the team had grown quite stagnant. Despite his early success with the team, he led the team to only three more playoff games in his last nine seasons in Seattle.
One thing that stands out with the AFC West now that Carroll is leading the Raiders - it may be the most impressive collection of head coaches in league history. All four in the division have won either a Super Bowl or a College Championship, and three have appeared in at least one more. All four coaches are accustomed to winning, so it will be an interesting division to watch as the teams try and navigate a murderer’s row of talent.
#4 - Kellen Moore - New Orleans Saints
Moore was the last one to be hired this offseason, with his fantastic offensive game plan for the Eagles taking them to victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. Moore has been a good coach in the league for the last few years, but leaving the Cowboys after the 2022 season may have significantly boosted his career. After struggling in 2023 as the offensive coordinator for the Rams, he found his way to the Eagles. Now, the Saints hope he can instill his winning ways on the team. His first major task may be to find a new quarterback to lead the offense after he was non-committal in a recent interview about Carr’s role with the team.
#5 - Aaron Glenn - New York Jets
While Glenn was a top coaching prospect the last two cycles, we are a little hesitant on his success with the Jets. The biggest task facing Glenn on the Jets will be establishing some sort of offensive identity, and he will always have to outsource that responsibility to another coach. He’s tasked Tanner Engstrand, an up-and-coming coach he was previously with the Lions, but with the complete overhaul of the offense coming in the offseason, it could be a tall task for the coaching staff. The Jets consistently have hired defensive-minded head coaches, and it has led the offense to consistently be the weak link on the team.
#6 - Liam Coen, Jacksonville Jaguars
Coen is certainly one of the hardest to gauge his success this offseason. Not only is he one of the least experienced coaches in the group, he’s not even held the same position for longer than a year since 2018-2019. It’s impossible to measure how he has been able to impact a team’s performance year-after-year because he has constantly jumped between the NFL and college the last several years. While that is a source of concern, his last season as offensive coordinator was a major success. The Buccaneers offense was one of the best in the league, so if he can bring that a little further north to Jacksonville, the team will be happy.
#7 - Brian Schottenheimer, Dallas Cowboys
Rounding out the list is Brian Schottenheimer. The long-time coach in the league felt like a desperate hire to try and maintain some level of consistency after Jerry Jones fumbled the negotiations with former head coach Mike McCarthy. It’s not just us who thinks it’s a risky hire - Jones said as much during the introductory press conference. Schottenheimer has been an exceedingly average coordinator much of his career, and the Cowboys should have had better success this offseason in finding their next coach. The Cowboys have several key playmakers locked down for several years, but their preferred choice as a head coach was Schottenheimer. We don’t expect him to coach out his four-year contract with the Cowboys.
February 11th, 2025
By Stephen Juza
Well, the Three-Peat wasn’t meant to be. From the beginning of the game, until the end, the Philadelphia Eagles dominated the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, one of the most impressive displays in recent Super Bowl memory. The Eagles victory was only the third victory in the last twenty years by more than 16 points.
There are many different ways to explain the dominance the Eagles displayed, but the final score was closer than the game ever was. Two Chiefs touchdowns in the last three minutes of the game, when they were already down 40-6, hardly caused a stir on the Eagles sideline. Backups finished the game while the starters soaked in the moment.
So what led to the domination for the Eagles?
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Time of Possession
All game long, the Eagles dominated the time of possession. Controlling the clock on offense was a key to success all season long. They won the time of possession battle in twelve of the seventeen games this season, and the Super Bowl was no different. The Eagles held the ball for 36:58 during the game, but not through their normal means. They only average 3.0 yards per rushing attempt, well below their season average. But the time spent on offense gave their time plenty of time to rest and recharge, which led to another area of domination.
Zero Blitzes, Six Sacks
One of the most absurd stats of the game was that the Eagles called their first blitz on the very final drive of the game. All game long, the Eagles defensive line was able to harass Patrick Mahomes to the tune of six sacks. Not only was this the most Mahomes has been sacked all season, it was the most he has been sacked in a single game in his career. He could never get comfortable in the pocket, and it led to errant passes even when he had time.
Pressure Leads To Turnovers
When Mahomes was worried about the pass rush, he was not able to dissect the secondary with his usual precision. Rather, the secondary picked him off twice, including the first ever pick-six for Mahomes in the playoffs. On top of interceptions, they also forced one strip-sack on a brutal third quarter hit where multiple defenders got their shot at Mahomes. Overall, this was only the second time this season that the Chiefs had three turnovers.
Eliminating Chiefs Playmakers
All game long, the Eagles eliminated Chiefs playmakers. The Chiefs were forced to be one-dimensional all game long, and it showed up in the box score. Running backs Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco combined for more than 1,000 yards during the regular season, but could only muster 16 against the Eagles on six rushes. Travis Kelce was held to zero catches in the first half - the first time that’s happened in his playoff career - and only four catches total. While two late scores gave the receivers a stat boost, it was far too little, far too late.
What’s next for the Eagles?
The Eagles success has attracted teams to Nick Sirianni's coaching staff, and this year was no different. It looks like offensive coordinator Kellen Moore will be hired by the New Orleans Saints as their new head coach, giving the Eagles their fourth offensive coordinator in the last four years. But Siriani isn’t going anywhere, and the Eagles look set up to compete for a while longer.