By Stephen Juza
November 12th, 2026
At the halfway point in the season, the same three coaches were above the 50% threshold for expected firing. With each mounting loss, coaches around the league can feel the pressure mounting as fans want their teams to fire their coach and start anew. So what’s the latest results look like for our unlucky coaches?
Watching a season spiral out of control is exhausting for any fanbase, leading many supporters to step away from Sunday broadcasts to blow off steam elsewhere. Between agonizing losses, sports enthusiasts frequently browse gaming promotions like bonus offers at Wildz to find extra bankroll value, free spins, or welcome rewards while taking a break from gridiron heartbreak. While players hunt for better odds online, several NFL head coaches are running out of ways to improve their own survival percentages.
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Jim Harbaugh - 62% chance of being fired
After a Week 9 loss to the Houston Texans, Harbaugh’s fate looks increasingly grim. The last winless team in the NFL hosted the Texans and lost 44-22, falling to 0-8 on the season. They will go on the road in Week 10 to face the short-handed Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football. While the Ravens are 4-5 on the season, they will be facing the winless Chargers with their third string quarterback, recently acquired Jacoby Brissett.
In the midst of the team’s loss to the Texans, starting quarterback Justin Herbert took eight sacks and narrowly avoided serious injury after X-rays came back negative for a broken hand. However, the Chargers were able to snap their streak of 37 consecutive offensive drives without a touchdown, a streak that started back on October 11th.
Unless the Chargers turn it around quickly, our internal projections show that Chargers only winning one remaining game on the season, and the odds that Harbaugh retains his job after a 1-16 season would be incredibly rare. We aren’t ready to tell Harbaugh to pack his bags yet, but it’s hard to see a scenario where he is with the Chargers in 2027.
Kevin Stefanski - 54% chance being fired
Stefanski’s odds have climbed slightly after their 34-17 loss against the Cincinnati Bengals. The loss dropped the Falcons to 3-6 on the season, but incredibly they stayed only a half game back from the division leader. The overall weakness of the NFC South will certainly test the model’s predictions given that playoff appearances rarely lead to a head coach’s firing. Out of the remaining eight games this season, we are only predicting that the Falcons will win two of them, and that will not likely be good enough to keep his job for 2027. We don’t anticipate the Falcons will win this week when they host the Kansas City Chiefs
Todd Bowles - 52% chance of being fired
Despite the loss, our model had Bowles’ chance of being fired decline slightly from last week. However, there will be ample time for the Buccaneers to prepare for their next matchup. Week 10 is the team’s bye week, giving them two weeks to prepare for their road game against the Detroit Lions. Playing in the incredibly weak NFC South has their playoff hopes still in sight, as they are a half game off the division lead, and will potentially move into a tie for second place after their bye week.