NFC Playoff Picture after Week 11

November 19th, 2025

By Stephen Juza

With the conclusion of Week 11, we look at the NFC playoff picture and a few of the surprises that are in store for the final seven weeks of the season. There was quite a bit of movement this week, as five of the seven playoff teams moved up or down. And while the NFL playoff seeding is heating up, you can also check the College Football odds for their own playoff race.

#1 - Philadelphia Eagles

The defending champions are still leading the way after a close win over the Detroit Lions. The Eagles won at home against last year’s #1 seed, and while their offense is still loaded with firepower, it’s the defense that has been putting on a fantastic display. They held the second-ranked offense to a season low nine points, while holding quarterback Jared Goff almost 40% below his season completion percentage (14/37). The Eagles continue their title defense this week against the 3-5-1 Dallas Cowboys.

#2 - Chicago Bears (+4)

The Bears continued their surprising season with their third straight victory to move them to 7-3. They secured this victory with a walk-off field goal against the division rival Minnesota Vikings to win the game 19-17. After the Vikings scored their own go-ahead touchdown with 50 seconds remaining, the Bears winning field goal was set up by a massive 56-yard kickoff return by Devin Duvernay that had the Bears in field goal range from their first snap. The Bears will continue their playoff hunt next week at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

#3 - Los Angeles Rams (+2)

The Rams moved into first place in the NFC West this week with a 21-19 victory over division rival Seattle Seahawks. This game came down to red zone execution, with the Rams offense converting three of their four red zone trips into touchdowns, while holding the Seahawks to mostly field goals all day long. The new division leaders will play host to NFC South-leading Tampa Bay this week.

#4 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The final division leader is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-3. Competing in the NFC South, the Buccaneers have by far the easiest road to the playoffs from this point in the season, with only two teams remaining on their schedule with a winning record. If things hold steady, the team will win their fifth straight NFC South title after having never won back-to-back before the current run.

#5 - Seattle Seahawks (-3)

The Seahawks dropped a key game in their playoff destiny when they lost 19-21 against the Rams. While they are now competing for a wild card spot, they have three games coming up where they will have a good opportunity to get back on a winning track. Next week, they will travel to Nashville to take on the 1-9 Titans, followed by hosting the 4-6 Vikings, then to Atlanta for the 3-7 Falcons. If they are able to take care of business against these non-playoff teams, they have a great opportunity to move back into first place.

#6 - Green Bay Packers (+1)

Rounding out the playoff field is the third NFC North team in the playoffs, the Green Bay Packers. The Packers had a nail-biter of a win this last week against the New York Giants and new interim head coach Mike Kafka. The 27-20 victory against the Giants was sealed in the last minute of the game when Evan Williams intercepted a Jameis Winston pass in the end zone. The win moves the Packers to 6-3-1 and will host division rival Minnesota Vikings in Week 12.

#7 - San Francisco 49ers (+1)

Moving up into the playoff seeding is the San Francisco 49ers after an impressive 41-22 victory against the Arizona Cardinals. In quarterback Brock Purdy’s return from a turf-toe injury, the team put up their most points of the season. Behind Purdy’s three passing touchdowns and Christian McCaffrey’s two rushing touchdowns, the offense was clicking on all cylinders against the reeling Cardinals, who have now lost six times in their last seven games. The 49ers will continue their playoff hunt this week against the Carolina Panthers.

Follow us on Twitter and Bluesky